Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.070323 0.075433 0.080753 0.086713 0.093211 0.100088 0.107930
2025-11-30 0.060986 0.068533 0.076844 0.086708 0.098137 0.111013 0.126690
2025-12-07 0.052898 0.061607 0.071621 0.084060 0.099195 0.117141 0.140217
2025-12-14 0.046326 0.055493 0.066403 0.080460 0.098260 0.120279 0.149929
2025-12-21 0.042187 0.051771 0.063519 0.079149 0.099651 0.125989 0.162977
2025-12-28 0.039845 0.049983 0.062753 0.080251 0.103973 0.135561 0.181741
2026-01-04 0.037706 0.048226 0.061797 0.080893 0.107565 0.144260 0.199942
2026-01-11 0.035383 0.046021 0.060034 0.080215 0.109154 0.150150 0.214488
2026-01-18 0.033492 0.044242 0.058680 0.079926 0.111160 0.156653 0.230396
2026-01-25 0.031462 0.042128 0.056699 0.078557 0.111409 0.160470 0.242369
2026-02-01 0.029391 0.039827 0.054301 0.076385 0.110239 0.161946 0.250598
2026-02-08 0.027668 0.037919 0.052338 0.074701 0.109639 0.164175 0.260145
2026-02-15 0.026105 0.036189 0.050582 0.073276 0.109432 0.167156 0.271541
2026-02-22 0.025240 0.035433 0.050213 0.073951 0.112598 0.175881 0.293898
2026-03-01 0.023754 0.033679 0.048253 0.072005 0.111354 0.177114 0.302867
2026-03-08 0.022143 0.031660 0.045787 0.069099 0.108302 0.174981 0.305313
2026-03-15 0.021106 0.030462 0.044516 0.068037 0.108265 0.178070 0.317966
2026-03-22 0.020612 0.030068 0.044471 0.068967 0.111686 0.187561 0.344156
2026-03-29 0.020062 0.029559 0.044210 0.069507 0.114442 0.196036 0.369243
2026-04-05 0.019309 0.028695 0.043334 0.068943 0.115166 0.200742 0.386974
2026-04-12 0.018673 0.027987 0.042673 0.068703 0.116448 0.206589 0.407793
2026-04-19 0.017895 0.027016 0.041536 0.067562 0.115970 0.208935 0.421114
2026-04-26 0.017032 0.025875 0.040065 0.065750 0.114103 0.208350 0.427698